Authoritarianism

No Better Time Than Now. Future Uncertainty and Private Investment Under Dictatorship

Noisy signaling model that highlights how uncertainty about the type of potential autocratic successors might paradoxically provide incentives for elite investment.

Unlikely Democrats. Economic Elite Uncertainty under Dictatorship and Support for Democratization

Noisy signaling model that highlights how uncertainty about the type of potential autocratic successors might induce economic elites to support a democratic transition.